Many foreign companies announced their withdrawal fromRussian market or suspension of its activities. They stopped exporting their products, investing in the development of brands, or even stopped production facilities operating in Russia. As you might guess, this suggests that many goods will disappear from store shelves or be in short supply. Problems can affect not only ordinary citizens, but also industry. For example, Russian Railways will face a lack of components for some types of cars. But how serious is the situation, what products will it affect and will there be an alternative on the market? We will try to understand these issues, which are becoming more and more relevant every day.
- 1 Food
- 2 Cars
- 3 Household appliances and electronics
- 4 Bearings
- 5 Other products
The situation in the food market ismore or less stable. In order to protect the domestic food market, as well as to prevent the rise in prices for strategically important agricultural products, the Government imposed a number of restrictions on its export from the country. In particular, the export of grain crops, sugar, sunflower seeds and some other products is prohibited.
Worry about food shortagesforeign production, perhaps, is also not worth it. Sanctions do not yet concern the regulation of imports. However, it should be borne in mind that the process of imposing sanctions by Western countries has not yet ended. In other words, the situation can change at any moment. In addition, as mentioned above, some brands themselves announced their withdrawal from the Russian market, without waiting for the imposition of sanctions.
For example, on Russian shelves no longerwill be PepsiCo drinks. The company announced a halt in sales of Pepsi, Mirinda, 7Up and some other popular drinks. Heineken beer lovers will also have to forget about this intoxicating drink. Nestle has announced the cessation of supplies of products under the Nespresso brand.
Products that are also at riskcomes from the Faroe Islands. First of all, it is mackerel and herring. It provides the market with fish of these varieties by 40-50%. As for the tea and coffee market, there are no threats to it yet, since these products are supplied from countries that have not supported the sanctions.
However, buyers have already noticed a shortage of someproducts in large chain stores. At the same time, prices for many foodstuffs went up. In particular, this applies to sugar, cereals, coffee, some confectionery products, etc.
It should be borne in mind that the shortage of importfood products may arise not only because of sanctions related to their supply, but also problems with logistics. In addition, there is a significant increase in transportation prices in the world. For example, the cost of cargo transportation by sea has increased more than six times.
Some popular car brands will becomenot available. Ford, Volkswagen Group Rus, General Motors, as well as Jaguar, Porsche and Land Rover announced their exit from the Russian market. All these companies stop producing and supplying cars to the Russian market.
The situation will also affect domesticmanufacturers. AvtoVAZ has already sent employees on corporate leave. This is due to the lack of supply of electronic components. Of course, cars are not essential goods. Many Russians will not even notice the departure of these companies. But those who can afford a new car will likely have to look towards Chinese brands such as Haval, Chery, Geely, and so on. True, Chinese manufacturers have also suspended shipments of cars for the time being. Nevertheless, sales of Chinese cars increased by 70%.
Household appliances and electronics
The largest deficit is expected in thisproduct segment. Even equipment that is produced in Russia may disappear from stores if imported components are used in its manufacture. And in Russia, as you know, chips are not produced. Own factories should appear only by 2030, and they will produce chips using a 16-nanometer process technology.
Earlier we said that Russia in response canin general, the whole world to leave without chips. However, this will not improve the situation on the domestic market of household appliances and electronics. Therefore, already now there is an increase in prices for the remaining products.
It would seem that bearings are not a smartphone orother complex electronics. However, some bearings are not available in the country. In particular, cassette bearings for some types of wagons were purchased from foreign manufacturers such as SKF. At present, the plant of this company in Tver operates under the control of Russian management. Nevertheless, its capacity is not enough to meet all the needs of the country.
The lack of quality bearings will lead toreducing the carrying capacity of the fleet, and consequently, slowing down the logistics network. The greatest need for such bearings will be in 2023. How this problem will be solved is still unknown.
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Among other things, there may be a shortage in the countrya number of pharmaceuticals and medical special equipment. Car owners will face a shortage in the market of auto parts, components and consumables. In addition, as we said earlier, a shortage and rise in price of clothing is expected.
Russians are already facing a shortageoffice paper. In those stores where you can still buy it, the price has increased several times. In addition, there is a deterioration in its quality - the paper of domestic producers is more yellow and thicker. Finally, we note that the shortage is not the complete disappearance of the goods. It will be possible to buy it, but much more difficult than before and, of course, at an inflated price.